AI Money is Heat-Seeking
Money is heat-seeking. This principle drives momentum investing. Ignore it, or worse, fight it at your peril.
The 6-Month Chief Operating Officer
A 6 month COO at an earlier stage will increase your probability of success, build alignment and make scaling smoother.
Calm Before the Storm
It appears we are heading into recession, yet many who run businesses tell me things are fine.
Truth or Narrative? What matters most in markets?
Truth or narrative, which will drive markets?
Where to now? Banks, Fed, Markets...
Investor focus turned to inflation and the Fed, and we were dealt a twist in the form of SVB (Silicon Valley Bank's failure) and it's implications for regional banks as a whole.
Bonds are Boring...until they're exposed as the central suspect in multiple financial murders
Credit cycles drive economic cycles, and bonds' relation to the current banking crisis. Know bonds and you can read the tea leaves for the economy, markets, and our collective financial future.
What's REALLY going on? Silicon Valley Bank, Coin Cloud and FTX. Recessions are the Perfect Hiding Place for Mistakes.
Risk travels through markets. When the economic cycle's tide goes out (the economy weakens), frauds are exposed like dead fish on the shore.
Where Now in Markets? Narrative Control, Cyclical Low Tide, and Pro-Competition.
Today the markets are in that pre-earnings month lull. Bear markets and regulatory clampdowns, where are the changing tides today?
Was THAT the BOTTOM?!? VCs and Traders Say Maybe-Yes.
How do you know when you have passed the final bear market bottom and started a new bull market?
Wall of Worry. Why bull markets NEED bad news.
Why Bull Markets NEED bad news. The psychology of climbing a wall of worry. Is this bear market over yet?
The 3 Times Pro’s Buy. How to avoid buying at the wrong time.
Know when investing professionals buy stocks to avoid buying at the wrong time and losing.
HNY! The Wisdom and Folly of Market Forecasts
Forecasts are always wrong. Don’t give up. Instead, learn the value of making a forecast and measuring against it.
The Elephant's Hard Landing
The Elephant in the room is that we are headed for a Hard Landing while continually hearing estimates for a soft landing. This serves the powers that be, but not you and me for our planning.
Recession is here. Don’t let FUD make you do things you’ll regret.
How to navigate recessions without getting caught up in fearmongering control tactics of marketers.
FTX! How to Read Bear Market Signposts
Could we have seen FTX coming? Why do these things keep happening? How to navigate the bear market going forward.
What Do Market Bottoms and Capitulation Look Like?
Reaching market capitulation is like going through the five stages of grief. Here are some landmarks to guide you in recognizing where we are.
Wind Shears, George Soros and Bond Vigilantes
How to spot the market’s capitulation catalyst
Forrest Gump, Paul Volcker and Expected Inflation
How expected inflation works and why it matters to markets and you.
How to spot Dead Cats, Falling Knives and False Charges across the plains of Africa and stock markets
How to navigate bear markets and come out alive
Learn from great billionaire investors Elon Musk and Charlie Munger to improve your own investing strategy.